Drancy vs Vitry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
3º
37
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
DRA
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 1
LUL
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PSG
3 - 2
DRA
37%
24%
39%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
DRA
39%
25%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
DRA
4 - 0
LMU
46%
28%
27%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vitry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 1
AUB
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
VTR
35%
23%
43%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
VTR
1 - 1
IVR
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
VTR
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VTR
1 - 0
ESA
49%
21%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |