Drancy vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
42.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SML
1 - 0
DRA
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
PAU
3 - 0
DRA
58%
25%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 1
LMU
23%
29%
49%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
1 - 0
DRA
57%
25%
19%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
DRA
1 - 0
AVR
17%
25%
58%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
LIM
0 - 1
VIL
19%
23%
57%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
BOU
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
USB
0 - 0
VIL
63%
23%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
QUE
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 1
VIL
44%
28%
28%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |