Drancy vs US Pays de Cassel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+140%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
5º
13º
9º
5
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 52 |
1º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 49 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 49 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 45 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 41 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
5 | 37 |
6º
|
7% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 37 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 34 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 31 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 29 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 15 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
57% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
27% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
DRA
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LPV
2 - 0
DRA
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 1
LPV
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
COM
2 - 2
DRA
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DRA
1 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
US Pays de Cassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PDC
1 - 1
VAL
57%
20%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VIM
3 - 4
PDC
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
PDC
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PDC
3 - 0
VIM
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 2
PDC
59%
19%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |