Drancy vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
VCH
1 - 1
DRA
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DRA
2 - 1
MOU
24%
26%
50%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SAE
1 - 3
DRA
60%
22%
17%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
DRA
3 - 0
SOC
34%
28%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +3 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 0
DRA
59%
25%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
SAE
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SOC
4 - 1
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -3 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
BEL
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
0 - 3
ASN
8%
18%
74%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | -1 |