Drancy vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
52.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
13º
8º
46
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
DRA
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LPV
2 - 1
DRA
6%
13%
81%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DRA
3 - 1
LMR
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LUL
1 - 1
DRA
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 0
PSG
44%
26%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 0
COM
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
LEN
30%
22%
48%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
USB
2 - 2
LEN
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 2
LIL
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
LEN
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -1 |