Drancy vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
CAB
4 - 1
DRA
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
DRA
2 - 0
PSG
51%
26%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
DRA
26%
30%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 0
VAL
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 1
DRA
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 0
AAC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 3
LEN
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 3
DUN
50%
24%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 1
LEN
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LEN
3 - 2
AUB
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |