Drancy vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 0
DRA
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
DRA
0 - 1
MAN
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEH
0 - 2
DRA
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
DRA
0 - 2
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
DRA
45%
28%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 2
AVI
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 2
QUE
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LEN
3 - 1
LEH
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
LEN
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |