Drancy vs Linas-Montlhery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
3º
42
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VTR
1 - 1
DRA
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 1
BRE
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LMR
2 - 0
DRA
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 0
AUB
27%
26%
47%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LMU
2 - 0
DRA
29%
24%
48%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Linas-Montlhery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ESA
1 - 3
AUB
43%
22%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MFC
2 - 1
ESA
31%
22%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 3
BLA
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PSG
3 - 2
ESA
37%
23%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 2
BLA
59%
21%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |