Drancy vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 1
DRA
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DRA
0 - 0
CHA
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ASB
1 - 0
DRA
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DRA
3 - 0
POI
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 0
DRA
58%
24%
18%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
DUN
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
POI
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
DUN
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 1
AUX
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |