Drancy vs Blanc Mesnil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
3º
29
13º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 2
DRA
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
45%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ESA
1 - 1
DRA
58%
20%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DRA
0 - 2
VTR
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
DRA
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Blanc Mesnil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 2
AUB
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 2
BLA
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
PAR
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
0 - 1
IVR
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
BLA
57%
23%
20%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |