Drancy vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 1
DRA
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
IVR
1 - 1
DRA
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
DRA
3 - 1
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AUX
1 - 0
DRA
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 0
POI
33%
26%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
AAC
51%
25%
25%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 0
SEN
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 2
AUB
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
DUN
52%
24%
25%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LIL
0 - 2
AUB
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |