Drancy vs Alfortville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 0
DRA
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AAC
0 - 1
DRA
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DRA
2 - 1
AVI
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DUN
0 - 1
DRA
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DRA
0 - 1
LIL
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Alfortville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 1
AAC
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 0
ALF
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 2
DUN
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 3
ALF
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 3
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |