Dragon vs Punaruu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.3%
12.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 0
DRA
50%
19%
31%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 2
TEF
52%
19%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DRA
2 - 4
VEN
52%
19%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
TEF
1 - 1
DRA
48%
19%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
PIR
5 - 4
DRA
52%
18%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Punaruu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CEN
4 - 2
PUN
69%
15%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VEN
3 - 1
PUN
70%
15%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
PIR
3 - 2
PUN
81%
10%
8%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
PUN
1 - 5
PIR
21%
17%
62%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
PUN
0 - 3
TEF
27%
19%
54%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |