Dragon vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
79.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AMI
1 - 0
DRA
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
DRA
6 - 0
ASE
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DRA
8 - 0
VAI
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
DRA
2 - 3
PIR
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 2
TEF
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
NAD
93%
6%
1%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 0
TEA
65%
19%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AUC
4 - 1
WAI
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
WAI
0 - 4
AUC
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
HAW
1 - 4
AUC
34%
25%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |