Drassburg vs Baumgarten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drassburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
NEU
5 - 6
DRA
66%
18%
16%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
DRA
4 - 4
PIN
71%
16%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
PUR
3 - 3
DRA
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
DRA
4 - 0
STG
51%
21%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
STI
0 - 4
DRA
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
BAU
0 - 4
PIN
69%
16%
15%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
STG
0 - 1
BAU
56%
21%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
BAU
2 - 1
SIG
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
GUS
0 - 1
BAU
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BAU
2 - 3
MAR
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |