Downham Town vs Harleston Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Downham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 0
DTF
60%
20%
21%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
DTF
14%
18%
68%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 2
DTF
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
THE
3 - 2
DTF
61%
20%
20%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DTF
5 - 1
MUL
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Harleston Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 1
MIL
27%
23%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HTF
6 - 0
BRA
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
DER
0 - 3
HTF
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HTF
1 - 2
DTF
45%
22%
33%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
HFC
0 - 0
HTF
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |