DOVO vs Urk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DOVO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ACH
2 - 5
DOV
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VVO
2 - 1
DOV
24%
23%
53%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
DOV
2 - 2
ODI
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SJC
1 - 8
DOV
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DOV
0 - 1
HOE
48%
25%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
URK
1 - 0
BUI
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SVZ
0 - 2
URK
50%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
URK
0 - 2
AZS
53%
22%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
APE
2 - 4
URK
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 1
URK
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |