Dover Athletic vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
WOK
1 - 1
DOV
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
DOV
1 - 0
WEL
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
HYT
0 - 1
DOV
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
DEA
1 - 5
DOV
10%
16%
74%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WOK
1 - 2
DOV
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
WRE
2 - 3
FOR
36%
26%
39%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
MAC
1 - 1
WRE
59%
24%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
BAN
2 - 2
WRE
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
LOU
2 - 2
WRE
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WRE
0 - 0
FYL
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |