Dover Athletic vs Truro City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DOV
1 - 1
SAL
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 1
DOV
36%
25%
40%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 0
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 2
DOV
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DOV
1 - 1
EAS
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Truro City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 2
SAL
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 1
STA
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BRO
1 - 1
WHI
26%
23%
51%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
WHI
0 - 2
CHM
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WEL
5 - 1
WHI
56%
23%
22%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |