Dover Athletic vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
DOV
2 - 2
DAR
53%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
WHI
1 - 0
DOV
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
THU
0 - 4
DOV
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
DOV
4 - 0
DOR
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DOV
4 - 1
STA
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
WEL
3 - 2
TON
56%
24%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
TON
4 - 0
EAS
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
TON
1 - 4
SUT
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MAI
0 - 4
TON
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
TON
4 - 3
LOW
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |