Dover Athletic vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
WEL
0 - 0
DOV
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
DOV
1 - 1
HAV
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
DOV
0 - 0
FAR
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
WOK
3 - 1
DOV
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DOV
0 - 0
BAS
65%
20%
14%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 2
THU
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WHI
16%
21%
63%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 4
EAS
30%
24%
47%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
HAV
3 - 0
THU
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
THU
0 - 0
TON
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |