Dover Athletic vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
0 - 3
DOV
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
EBB
0 - 2
DOV
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
DOV
1 - 1
STA
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2010 |
DOV
2 - 2
WEL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
WOK
0 - 1
DOV
33%
27%
40%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
BIS
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
THU
2 - 2
HAM
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BOR
2 - 2
THU
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
2 - 1
THU
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
THU
2 - 2
STA
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |