National League South Playoff Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Dover Athletic vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
39.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
HAY
1 - 2
DOV
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
DOV
1 - 1
WHI
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
DOV
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
EAS
1 - 0
DOV
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
DOV
1 - 0
STA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
WHI
3 - 3
SUT
24%
27%
50%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SUT
1 - 0
CON
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BIS
1 - 2
SUT
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SUT
3 - 1
EBB
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MAI
3 - 2
SUT
22%
26%
51%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |