Dover Athletic vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 1
DOV
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
EAS
1 - 2
DOV
17%
23%
61%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 1
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOV
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 1
WRE
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 2
STO
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 0
STO
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
STO
3 - 0
KID
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
STO
1 - 2
ILK
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
DAR
1 - 1
STO
51%
24%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |