Dover Athletic vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 1
DOV
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 3
DOV
25%
24%
52%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
DOV
4 - 0
GAT
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DOV
2 - 2
GUI
58%
23%
20%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DOV
1 - 2
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 3
BOR
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 1
SOU
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
BRA
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
SOU
0 - 1
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |