Dover Athletic vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 1
DOV
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 0
EAS
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 2
DOV
32%
25%
44%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
DOV
1 - 1
EAS
59%
22%
20%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STA
0 - 3
DOV
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 1
SAL
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
WOK
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 6
YOR
31%
25%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
SAL
18%
23%
60%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
SHE
3 - 1
SAL
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |