Dover Athletic vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
76.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
3 - 2
DOV
84%
12%
4%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
DOV
1 - 4
WOK
24%
23%
53%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BOR
1 - 2
DOV
76%
17%
7%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
DOV
0 - 1
MAI
20%
22%
59%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
DOV
1 - 1
KIN
24%
21%
55%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NOT
3 - 1
WEY
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
NOT
4 - 1
KIN
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUL
5 - 1
NOT
33%
26%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SOU
0 - 3
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 1
CHE
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |