Dover Athletic vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
DOV
1 - 2
ALD
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
MAI
2 - 2
DOV
36%
26%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
DOV
0 - 0
HAL
58%
23%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
DOV
2 - 2
MAI
55%
24%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
WRE
0 - 0
DOV
30%
27%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
ASH
3 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
WAR
0 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 4
STO
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 3
ALT
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 4
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +2 |