Dover Athletic vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
DOV
2 - 2
MAI
74%
18%
9%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DOV
2 - 0
ALD
46%
24%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
DOV
1 - 2
WOK
64%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BOR
2 - 3
DOV
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
DOV
0 - 2
DAR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
THU
3 - 1
LEW
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
LEW
1 - 3
SAL
28%
24%
49%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LEW
3 - 1
STA
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
BIS
1 - 0
LEW
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
WES
0 - 3
LEW
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |