Dover Athletic vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 1
ALT
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
KID
0 - 2
DOV
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DOV
1 - 2
LIN
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
ALD
3 - 1
DOV
27%
26%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 2
SOU
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
0 - 1
GAT
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GAT
2 - 1
MAC
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2015 |
GAT
1 - 1
WEL
74%
17%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
GAT
28%
27%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
GAT
3 - 1
WRE
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |