National League Playoff Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Dover Athletic vs Forest Green Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DOV
0 - 1
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KID
1 - 1
DOV
17%
24%
59%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DOV
1 - 1
GRI
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
MAC
0 - 0
DOV
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WRE
0 - 1
DOV
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
DOV
0 - 1
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
HAL
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
WOK
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
FOR
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 0
WRE
53%
25%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |