Dover Athletic vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
EBB
0 - 0
DOV
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WES
1 - 1
DOV
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 2
MAI
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
HAV
0 - 1
DOV
35%
24%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
DOV
0 - 2
SUT
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SUT
2 - 0
FAR
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 0
HAV
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 0
FAR
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
3 - 4
FAR
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FAR
0 - 2
HAM
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |