Dover Athletic vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
DOV
4 - 0
HAR
57%
24%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BRO
2 - 2
DOV
43%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
DOV
0 - 1
FYL
41%
25%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
DAG
1 - 0
DOV
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
LEY
1 - 1
DOV
21%
23%
56%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 2
EAS
49%
24%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GLO
1 - 2
EAS
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
ROY
2 - 3
EAS
54%
22%
23%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
EAS
1 - 1
ROY
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
EAS
2 - 3
BAT
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |