Dover Athletic vs Eastbourne Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 1
DOV
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SUT
2 - 2
DOV
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DOV
2 - 2
FAR
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
EBB
0 - 0
DOV
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
WES
1 - 1
DOV
29%
24%
47%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Eastbourne Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
BIL
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 0
BRO
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
EAS
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
EAS
1 - 3
SAL
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAS
3 - 0
EAS
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |