Dover Athletic vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NOT
0 - 0
DOV
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOV
1 - 1
HAR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
BRO
3 - 0
DOV
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
EBB
0 - 1
DOV
37%
25%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
DOV
3 - 0
BRO
44%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ALD
3 - 3
CHO
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
WRE
1 - 2
ALD
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
ALD
3 - 1
EAS
22%
23%
54%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
ALD
0 - 0
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ALD
2 - 1
STO
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +1 |