Dover Athletic vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
DOV
1 - 2
WOK
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BOR
2 - 3
DOV
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
DOV
0 - 2
DAR
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GIL
0 - 2
DOV
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BIS
1 - 4
DOV
22%
25%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
BUR
1 - 2
ALD
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ALD
0 - 2
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 0
BRE
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 0
ALD
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 1
ALD
60%
22%
19%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |