Dover Athletic vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
DOV
1 - 0
BRO
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
DOV
2 - 2
HAV
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
MAI
1 - 2
DOV
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DOV
2 - 0
BAT
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
DOV
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CHM
1 - 4
HOR
68%
18%
14%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 1
BAT
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 1
HOR
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
STA
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
TON
1 - 0
HOR
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -2 |