Douglas Haig vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
47
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
DHA
24%
26%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
GIM
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
DHA
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
SLP
40%
28%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CIB
2 - 0
DHA
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
GIM
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
IND
4 - 1
SPB
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 2
SLP
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
SPB
12%
21%
67%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 0
DPR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |