Douglas Haig vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
47
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
DHA
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
GIM
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
DHA
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
SLP
40%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CIB
2 - 0
DHA
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
GIM
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
IND
4 - 1
SPB
31%
29%
40%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 2
SLP
48%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
SPB
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 0
DPR
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |