Douglas Haig vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
36.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2014 |
INS
2 - 0
DHA
56%
26%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
DYJ
4 - 0
DHA
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
DHA
1 - 1
VSC
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
IND
2 - 0
DHA
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
DHA
0 - 0
BAN
25%
28%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 0
TAL
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
VSC
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 0
SAR
63%
23%
15%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
1 - 0
HUR
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
IRV
3 - 1
SAR
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |