Douglas Haig vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
JUU
1 - 1
DHA
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
DHA
0 - 4
DAL
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
DHA
39%
29%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
DHA
1 - 2
GBR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 0
DHA
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 1
UNI
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
SAP
2 - 4
SLO
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SLO
0 - 4
LAN
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
BAN
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
SLO
32%
29%
39%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |