Douglas Haig vs Patronato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2012 |
DHA
0 - 0
CDN
44%
27%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 3
DHA
30%
28%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2012 |
DHA
3 - 2
SPB
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 2
DHA
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
DHA
2 - 0
RAC
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Patronato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 0
PAT
36%
30%
34%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
RIV
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
CEN
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ATT
1 - 3
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 0
ALD
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |