Douglas Haig vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DHA
0 - 0
CHI
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GIM
1 - 1
DHA
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
DHA
0 - 1
AND
41%
29%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
DHA
1 - 3
SLO
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
JUU
1 - 1
DHA
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
CSE
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDN
1 - 2
INS
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 1
SMA
69%
21%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
INS
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
INS
0 - 2
GLP
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |