Douglas Haig vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FER
2 - 1
DHA
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
DHA
2 - 0
CCS
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DHA
3 - 1
IRV
46%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
GAF
4 - 0
DHA
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
DHA
2 - 1
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
INS
0 - 1
PAR
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
GIM
0 - 0
INS
30%
29%
41%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
PAT
3 - 1
INS
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
PAT
41%
30%
29%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 2
INS
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |