Douglas Haig vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
DHA
1 - 0
ATT
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 0
DHA
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
DHA
0 - 0
CHI
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
DHA
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
DHA
1 - 0
HUR
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
IRV
1 - 1
INS
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
INS
1 - 0
CEN
23%
27%
49%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
PAT
3 - 2
INS
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2013 |
INS
0 - 2
GLP
32%
30%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ATT
2 - 0
INS
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |