Douglas Haig vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
17.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
2º
1º
16
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 8 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
DHA
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
DHA
2 - 0
CDN
64%
23%
12%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JAN
1 - 1
DHA
21%
28%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
DHA
1 - 0
SAR
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 0
DHA
16%
26%
58%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 0
BUC
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
DPR
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IND
4 - 2
UNI
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 0
IND
32%
31%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |