Douglas Haig vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
RSA
1 - 0
DHA
60%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
DHA
3 - 0
PLA
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 0
DHA
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
DHA
0 - 0
RAS
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
GIM
0 - 0
DHA
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2006 |
PLA
0 - 0
GBR
16%
22%
62%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
GBR
2 - 0
RAS
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
JUV
3 - 1
GBR
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
GBR
1 - 0
RSA
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
GBR
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |