Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
33
4º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
DHA
27%
30%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
DHA
3 - 0
SLP
51%
27%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
DHA
3 - 1
LIN
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
DPR
0 - 1
DHA
27%
28%
46%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
DHA
2 - 1
DFR
59%
25%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
GIM
1 - 0
IND
23%
28%
50%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 2
SLP
23%
26%
51%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
LIN
3 - 1
GIM
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
DPR
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
DFR
1 - 0
GIM
42%
27%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |