Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
1º
4º
1º
33
4º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
DHA
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
SLP
40%
28%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CIB
2 - 0
DHA
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DHA
1 - 1
SMA
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 1
DHA
58%
25%
18%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
IND
39%
29%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
4 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GYT
3 - 0
GIM
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 0
UNI
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DPR
3 - 0
GIM
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |