Douglas Haig vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 0
DHA
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DHA
1 - 1
BUC
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
JAN
1 - 1
DHA
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DHA
2 - 0
CDN
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
SLP
1 - 0
DHA
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 1
SAR
26%
27%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SPB
3 - 1
GIM
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 2
RAC
25%
30%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 3
GIM
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 0
BUC
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |