Douglas Haig vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
37%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CDN
2 - 1
DHA
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DHA
2 - 1
INS
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DHA
1 - 1
ALM
32%
31%
37%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 0
DHA
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
DHA
2 - 1
PAT
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
ALM
37%
33%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 1
FER
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FER
0 - 1
PAT
41%
31%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ATT
3 - 0
FER
43%
27%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
OLI
35%
30%
35%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |